Leveraging Financial Market Seasonality with Bias Systems and Overcoming the Blockchain Developer Shortage

Alessio Frateily

Hatched by Alessio Frateily

Sep 02, 2023

4 min read

0

Leveraging Financial Market Seasonality with Bias Systems and Overcoming the Blockchain Developer Shortage

Introduction:

In the world of trading, the term "bias" refers to systems that aim to exploit repetitive behaviors in financial markets. These biases can manifest in various ways, such as certain futures displaying a tendency to move either upwards or downwards during specific hours of the day, days of the week, or even months of the year. The underlying idea behind bias systems is to construct trading strategies that can capitalize on the seasonality and repetitiveness of market movements. By analyzing and identifying statistically solid patterns on charts, reliable trading systems can be developed.

Exploring Intraday Bias:

One of the most common types of bias systems is the intraday bias. As the name suggests, these biases involve examining whether there is a repetitive movement in a financial instrument during specific hours of the trading session. To determine the existence of an intraday bias, one can create a script that buys at the beginning of each hourly bar and closes the position at the bar's closure.

Examining Intra-week and Intra-month Bias:

In addition to intraday biases, there are also biases that operate over longer timeframes. Intra-week biases involve observing whether a financial instrument rises or falls for consecutive days or portions of a trading week. Calculating the average price variations for each day of the week can help identify these biases. Similarly, intra-month biases seek exploitable trends within the working month. The average trend can be calculated for all days of the month or only on working days.

Unlocking Seasonal Biases:

Seasonal biases focus on identifying regular trends within a year. However, this type of bias is the least frequent as it only identifies a few signals throughout the entire year. Analyzing the past decades reveals that exploitable occurrences in seasonal biases are quite limited. Nonetheless, some assets like Ethereum exhibit intriguing intraday biases that can be leveraged to create highly promising automated strategies.

The Developer Shortage Myth:

Contrary to popular belief, there is no shortage of developers. The scarcity lies in qualified developers who possess the necessary skills and expertise. A qualified developer must be proficient in various areas, such as optimizing component loads, utilizing suitable APIs, architecting codebases for multiple contributors, making informed CSS choices, employing modern tooling, improving page loading speed, understanding SEO and mobile optimization, and having a broad knowledge of libraries.

The Qualifications of a Blockchain Developer:

While the demand for blockchain developers is on the rise, true qualifications go beyond merely programming an ERC721 token or deploying a smart contract to the mainnet. A qualified blockchain developer should possess an extensive understanding of what not to do and be aware of major issues within the blockchain domain. They must be well-versed in effective problem-solving approaches, leveraging existing knowledge, making efficient use of data gas, ensuring security, and staying up-to-date with recurring hacks.

Overcoming the Shortage:

Becoming a qualified developer requires dedication, hard work, and continuous learning. It is a journey that can be accelerated by studying alongside motivated individuals and under the guidance of experienced mentors. There are no shortcuts to becoming a senior engineer or a qualified blockchain developer. It takes years of deliberate practice, acquiring new skills, and pushing beyond what your peers are doing.

Actionable Advice:

  • 1. Continuously expand your knowledge: Stay updated with the latest trends, technologies, and best practices in your field. Actively seek out new learning opportunities and engage in ongoing professional development.
  • 2. Build a strong network: Connect with professionals in your industry, attend conferences, join online communities, and engage in meaningful discussions. Networking can lead to valuable opportunities, mentorship, and collaborations.
  • 3. Focus on results-oriented hard work: Prioritize activities that directly contribute to your knowledge and job applications. Avoid getting caught up in tasks that don't advance your goals. Work smart by identifying activities that drive efficient results and propel you towards your desired position.

Conclusion:

Incorporating bias systems in trading strategies allows traders to capitalize on repetitive market behaviors. While the demand for blockchain developers is growing, the shortage lies in qualified professionals who possess a comprehensive understanding of the domain. Overcoming this shortage requires dedication, continuous learning, and a commitment to acquiring the necessary skills. By focusing on growth, building a strong network, and working smart, aspiring developers can position themselves as highly sought-after professionals in the industry.

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