If the debt ceiling binds, and the U.S. Treasury does not have the ability to pay its obligations, the negative economic effects would quickly mount and risk triggering a deep recession.
The debt limit caps the total amount of allowable outstanding U.S. federal debt. The U.S. hit that limit—$31.4 trillion—on January 19, 2023
The economic costs of the debt limit binding, while assuredly negative, are enormously uncertain.
the very short-term effects largely depend on the expectations of financial market participants, businesses, and households.
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