It turns out that we likely don’t know as much as we think we do, are overconfident, tend to think too narrowly and continue with paths that are no longer best for us.
We need to be more sceptical of our decisions than we might be inclined to be;
find ways to broaden our options; and take a more systematic and evidence-based approach to career choice.
We often think too narrowly when considering what options are available to us, and what’s important in comparing them.
There’s evidence that in decision making, we “narrow frame” in two ways: first, we think too narrowly about what options are available to us. Second, we think too narrowly about what our objectives are in comparing those options.2 This is supported both by direct studies, and by the existence of more general biases: the availability heuristic, caus...
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